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NW Resource Adequacy Outlook Workshop
NW Resource Adequacy Outlook Workshop
Oregon Public Utility Commission, 201 High Street, Salem, OR 97301
May 28, 2019, 1:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m.
 
Purpose
Building a common understanding for Oregon regulators, utilities, and other stakeholders of how the transition to a low-carbon electric system requires that we identify both regional capacity needs and region-wide solutions that complement utility-specific planning to ensure cost-effective reliability.
 
Context
Recent regional electricity spot market price spikes, while driven by unusual constraints on the natural gas and transmission infrastructure, presage the importance of understanding how the region is planning to meet resource adequacy needs over the 2020-2030 timeframe. A January 2019 comprehensive analysis of Pacific Northwest (PNW) capacity options by the consulting firm E3 concluded that the PNW could face an eight gigawatt (GW) capacity deficit to meet reliability needs by 2030. Regional energy stakeholders are actively engaging on how to accurately understand and
address this growing concern.
 
Resource adequacy planning is adapting to the evolving resource mix in the region to ensure a least-cost and smooth transition that maximizes customer benefits and manages risks effectively.
 
In Oregon, we are familiar with the investor-owned electric utility Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process for determining a reasonable portfolio of actions to meet individual utility future needs. These processes are robust as they consider future risks and uncertainties to ensure customer benefits. However, regional constraints on capacity (physical, economic and social) and the inefficiencies created when each utility goes it alone, point to the need for deeper regional planning and action.
 
Maintaining system reliability will require a portfolio of solutions, by both individual utilities and regional initiatives.
 
Workshop
1:00 p.m. - Introduction
  • Commissioner Letha Tawney, Oregon Public Utility Commission
1:15 p.m. - Panel 1: Describe the emerging capacity gaps identified in planning to date.
  • Is it sufficient to identify the gaps by geographic boundaries (i.e., as a physical imbalance between Pacific Northwest-located loads and resources) or should the market price impacts of neighboring regions’ capacity shortages be considered?
  • Over what time frame do these gaps appear?
  • How much uncertainty do we face about the scale and timing of the projected gaps?
    • Arne Olsen, E3
    • Frank Afranji, Northwest Power Pool
    • John Fazio, Northwest Power and Conservation Council
2:30 p.m. - Break
 
2:45 p.m. - Panel 2: What is the role for cooperative regional solutions that complement the individual utility plans
and programs? What are the barriers to regional solutions?
    • Elliot Mainzer, Bonneville Power Administration
    • Randy Hardy, Hardy Consulting
    • Maria Pope, Portland General Electric
4:00 p.m. - Closing Remarks
  • Chair Megan Decker, Oregon Public Utility Commission
 
Please RSVP to Tashiana Wangler if you plan to attend the workshop at Tashiana.Wangler@state.or.us.